India’s information technology exports will rise by 2.5 times to $80 billion by 2011 declares India’s communications and IT minister. A company that has been one of the single largest beneficiaries of this trend is Tata Consultancy Services (TCS.NS).
TCS has rapidly set up centers in nearly every continent. With more than 90% of revenue from repeat customers, the TCS strength is its Global Network Delivery Model that delivers based on the same standards, methodologies, excellence and expectations globally. The recent 10-year, $1.2 billion contract with Nielson Company reflects this approach. The geographical coverage strategy is no different from competitors Infosys or Satyam.
To support growth TCS is also taking costs offshore to limit expenses, similar to competitors. The TCS expense mix is currently 43% offshore versus 53.3% onshore and 3.7% other, a 2% increase from Q1 and YoY. And like its competitors, TCS seems also to be stuck with the body-shopping business model.
Revenue mix in Q2 ended Sept. 30 is 52.5% North America, 4.2% other America, 19.9% UK, 8.4% Europe, 8.2% India, 5.2% Asia-Pacific, and 1.9% from other geographies.
In terms of types of business, IT solutions/services makes up 74.9% of the revenue. Software application development/maintenance supported 48.6% of the above figure. The other components worth 25.1% are Engineering, Infrastructure, Global Consulting, Asset Leverage Solutions, and Business Process Outsourcing.
Q2 revenue totaled $1.42 billion, which was an increase of 45.2% YoY and 10.8% versus Q1. The new revenue came from banking and financial services, telecom, and manufacturing. Net income posted at $313 million, again a 45.1% YoY increase and 7.5% more versus Q1. 50% of Q2 revenue also came from new services, but not necessarily new clients. Revenue from repeat business totaled 97.8% versus 2.2% from new customers, being only a slight decrease from Q1’s 99.2% existing base. The Top 10 TCS clients produce 27.6% of revenue, with 334 clients out of 814 producing $1 million or more.
Previously TCS had only $266 million in cash and short-term investments. An international listing helped TCS go after bigger acquisitions as organic growth slowed down. With 2006-2007 annual revenues of $4.3 billion and net income of $950 million, a NYSE listing for TCS was likely to generate interest and the current share price of $1,088/share (versus $140 in 2002) proves the case.
The Tata group as a whole has been on an acquisition binge since 2001 including some gigantic ones like Tata Steel’s acquisition of Corus. Similarly, TCS has pushed on with its own acquisitions:
General risks associated may be sidetracked on rupee value issues or rising wages in India. But the real risk is whether TCS can maintain its lofty share price. The real answer to this question may lie in TCS’ ability to make a different kind of acquisitions work in its favor. As in the case of Infosys, TCS also needs to start acquiring product and SaaS companies. Cognos, for example, is currently looking for a suitor following SAP’s acquisition of Business Objects, as is BEA Systems. There are numerous other smaller players as well, and depending on where TCS wants to focus its product / SaaS portfolio building initiatives, there are many different options.
So far, however, there have been no indications from the company that it is considering this path. I don’t like that.